After a very strong, bullish rally, bitcoin managed to settle on a new all-time high in the $7,500s. This price peak bounced right off the upper linear ascending trendline shown in Figure 1. Historically, every time bitcoin has touched the upper ascending trendline, the market has gone through a corrective phase and entered into a relatively strong bearish reversal. At the time of this article, bitcoin is currently testing key, macro support of the lower $7,000 price range.
The 23% Fibonacci support has been a point of interest in the market’s history and will prove to be strong support. BTC-USD has attempted to break this support level a couple of times already and we are currently making a third test. A break below this level of support could send the price down to the 38% retracement values and test the $6,700 prices. However, if we look at the previous price action (the red circle) that brought the price upward, we don’t see any consolidation or support in the market’s history. This tells us that the 38% price level most likely won’t prove to be significant support during a potential move downward and we can expect to find stronger support in lower values around the $6,400–$6,500 prices.
Historically, during correction periods, bitcoin has retraced 50–61% of the initial bull run: […]