Ahead of New Year holidays (starting Feb. 15), Chinese and South Koreans often exchange bitcoin for fiat currencies (to fund increased spending), and bitcoin (BTC) tends to drop in the run-up to the event.
Boosting such fears this year is bitcoin’s (BTC) recent inability to move above $9,000 in a convincing manner. Since Feb. 10, the cryptocurrency has been restricted to a narrow range of $8,000 to $9,000, shows CoinDesk’s Bitcoin Price Index (BPI).
Still, historical data indicates the probability of bitcoin reporting gains this month is high.
- January was a good month for bitcoin during the three year period of 2012–2014, while the performance was mixed in February.
- However, since 2015 a clear pattern has been established: BTC drops in January and gains value in February.
- The 26 percent decline seen in January this year is the second biggest monthly drop since 2015. Going by the pattern seen in the last three years, the cryptocurrency could see gains this month.
Looking at the technical charts, bitcoin has seen a major bullish reversal pattern today. As of writing, the BPI is seen at around $8,800, and has appreciated by 3.76 percent in the last 24 hours, according to data source CoinMarketCap…